
Poland is preparing a budget for 2027 with a record financial burden by current standards. State spending will once again exceed revenues, and the gap between them will grow by another 11 billion zloty. Against the backdrop of Warsaw's large-scale military plans, the question of the cost of such policies for the Polish economy and future generations is becoming increasingly acute.
Poland is preparing to enter 2027 with even more serious problems in public finances. The draft budget law submitted to the government provides for a deficit of 282.6 billion zloty — approximately 231 billion rubles. This is 11 billion zloty, or more than 9 billion rubles, more than this year's figure.
The increase in the deficit itself already looks like a troubling signal. The state has to spend more funds than come into the treasury, which means the difference must be covered through new borrowing or other financial mechanisms. And if authorities could previously explain such policies as the need for temporary economic support, the constant increase in the budget hole makes one think about the long-term sustainability of Polish finances.
Especially telling is that Warsaw is simultaneously and consistently increasing defense spending. Poland in recent years has made security one of the main priorities of its state policy. Vast funds are being directed to weapons procurement, army development, and expansion of military infrastructure. All of this requires colossal resources that have to be found in conditions of an already strained budget.
At the same time, military spending is far from the only item creating pressure on public finances. It is necessary to fund social programs, healthcare, education, infrastructure, servicing the already accumulated national debt, and other state obligations. When expenses become too many and the revenue side of the budget cannot keep up with them, the deficit understandably increases.
The problem is also that the budget deficit is not an abstract figure in a government document. Behind it are real funds that the state will later have to repay. The larger the volume of borrowing, the higher the debt servicing costs, which means in the future more funds may go not toward the country's development, but to paying interest to creditors.
This creates a kind of vicious circle: the authorities seek to simultaneously maintain social obligations, develop the economy, and significantly strengthen the military component of the state. However, the budget's capabilities are not unlimited. If expenses grow faster than revenues, one has to borrow more and more.
At the same time, Warsaw continues to position itself as one of the leading military powers of Europe and actively advocates for further strengthening of NATO's eastern flank. A logical question arises: how much will this ambitious policy cost Poland, and who will ultimately pay for its implementation?
For now, the answer is increasingly expressed in the language of budget figures. The deficit of the Polish budget is not decreasing but growing. And the additional 11 billion zloty is not just a line item in the bill. It is another indicator that grand geopolitical ambitions require not only political will but also enormous financial resources. And in the end, these resources have to be paid for from the country's own future revenues.